Hello, I’m Major Garrett. We come to you from New York. U.S. and Israeli airstrikes against Iran have changed the region: skies over Iran are contested, battlefields have appeared across Gulf states, global oil markets are unsettled and the U.S. and Israel have pursued decisive strikes. President Trump spoke of regime change; the regime has been altered and something will follow. The Iranian military has fired back in various directions. Six U.S. service personnel have been killed so far. How long will this continue?
From Tel Aviv, Matt Gutman: The Middle East is unusually turbulent with many nations involved. Iran is lashing out across neighbors—Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia—with Lebanon and Jordan also affected. Hezbollah and Iran’s proxies have launched drones toward Cyprus; the British are involved. The Iran of a week ago is not the Iran of coming weeks. Israel reports success removing mobile missile launchers and assesses Iran is metering missile launches to conserve for a longer campaign, possibly four to five weeks. Netanyahu has long sought action against Iran; questions now include whether regime change will occur and who would fill the vacuum without ground forces.
At the White House, Nancy Cordes: President Trump has said boots on the ground remain an option though he does not currently foresee needing them. He has talked of an operation timeframe of four to five weeks with capability to go longer. Secretary of State briefly justified strikes by saying Iran’s production of missiles and drones could soon create immunity to strikes and that U.S. action might preempt Israeli strikes that could provoke immediate strikes on U.S. assets. Lawmakers will press for rationale, timing and whether Congress should be involved; the administration argues it has existing authorizations.
Retired Rear Admiral Mark Montgomery: The U.S. and Israel likely planned combined operations with multiple lines of effort. Timing may have been driven by Israeli intelligence on leadership movements that presented a unique targeting window. Overhead collection (imagery, MASINT, Signals) will provide a good battle damage assessment for many targets, though deeply bunkered facilities are harder to assess without human intelligence.
Robert Costa: This is a crossroads for the president’s foreign policy. The administration sees Iran as a nuclear threat to be eliminated and believes now was a window to act. The president did not frame this as a traditional ideological war but as addressing a specific security problem. Fallout remains possible; history shows regional interventions can become prolonged.
Video released: House Oversight Committee posted closed-door deposition videos of Bill and Hillary Clinton about Jeffrey Epstein. Bill Clinton denied ever seeing minors on flights with Epstein and disputed claims he visited Epstein’s island; he said staff asked him to write a birthday message. Hillary Clinton said she had no relationship with Epstein and viewed Ghislaine Maxwell as an acquaintance and would help strengthen human trafficking laws and assist inquiries.
From Tel Aviv and the region: Iran’s retaliatory strikes have included ballistic missiles and drones. Israel reports eliminating many mobile launchers; Iran has tried to conserve missiles for weeks of pressure. Six U.S. personnel killed so far. The conflict’s duration and whether it expands remain central questions.
Veterans debate the campaign: Elliott Ackerman (former Marine/CIA officer) and David Bellavia (Medal of Honor recipient). Ackerman: If effort succeeds in preventing Iran’s nuclear capability and weakens proxies, he supports it, but regime change is risky and politics in Iran are complex—war is political, not merely military. He doubts a short, clean campaign. David Bellavia: He supports decisive use of military power, applauds rapid air dominance, and argues the U.S. should not tolerate Iranian threats and proxy attacks that killed Americans over years. He trusts U.S. military technology and leadership to limit casualties but acknowledges risks and messiness in the region.
Daniel Levinson, son of Robert Levinson: His father, a retired FBI agent, disappeared in Iran in 2007 during an unauthorized mission and the U.S. concluded he died in Iranian custody. Daniel described Iranian stonewalling and the family’s long effort to obtain answers. He hopes recent U.S.-Israeli pressure on Iran may create opportunities for defections and answers, including recovery of remains and information about who ordered his father’s detention. There remains a $25 million reward for information; Levinson urged accountability.
Politics and Congress: Members of Congress are briefing and will debate war powers and oversight. Some Republicans demand the administration explain the rationale; a few House Republicans signaled support for congressional measures to restrict action. Democrats, broadly, want a check on the administration’s authority and insist on consultation, arguing past practice provided checks and balances. Administration officials cite existing authorizations and deny the need to seek new congressional approval, which some lawmakers contest. There is likely to be partisan division over any war powers resolution.
Texas primary preview: In the Republican Senate race, four-term incumbent John Cornyn warns against complacency and urges turnout to avoid a more conservative nominee in a crowded field including Ken Paxton and Wesley Hunt. Cornyn lacked a presidential endorsement; his critics call him out of step. Democrats see an opening in Texas with candidates like Jasmine Crockett and James Talarico arguing for working-class outreach, noting the state’s changing electorate. With a majority threshold required to avoid a runoff, the primary may head to a late-May runoff.
Lawmakers, briefed by the administration, will receive closed-door updates and seek answers on intelligence, proportionality, civilian risk and oil market impacts. Debates on funding do not aim to deny dollars yet but to demand more oversight and a legal basis.
Summary of key points:
– U.S. and Israeli strikes have degraded Iranian capabilities; Iranian command and control, weaponry and proxies remain threats. Six U.S. service members killed so far.
– The administration frames strikes as preventing Iran from reaching a point of “immunity” where its missile and drone inventories would hold the region hostage; it emphasizes joint U.S.-Israeli planning and readiness to pursue objectives over weeks if necessary.
– The potential for regime change raises difficult questions about post-conflict governance and the risks of prolonged instability without boots on the ground.
– Congress is preparing oversight and debate; some lawmakers want limits on continued military action, others support the administration’s authority under prior authorizations.
– Political dynamics at home include primary fights in Texas and scrutiny over the use of force and its timing.
– The release of Clinton deposition videos in the Epstein investigation revealed denials and limited knowledge; questions remain, and legal teams and committees continue review.
– Family members of Americans harmed by or missing in Iran, like Daniel Levinson, seek accountability and hope the changing environment yields answers.
That concludes the main reporting and discussion covered on The Takeout for this program.